Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.493506 0.543770 0.597809 0.660367 0.730965 0.808369 0.899926
2025-10-05 0.419378 0.490494 0.572658 0.675231 0.800716 0.950342 1.143913
2025-10-12 0.375807 0.457285 0.556082 0.685968 0.854114 1.067047 1.361310
2025-10-19 0.342304 0.429700 0.539811 0.690733 0.895376 1.167866 1.566184
2025-10-26 0.315745 0.406884 0.525497 0.693991 0.931851 1.262920 1.771913
2025-11-02 0.295257 0.389382 0.515456 0.700388 0.971183 1.363786 1.996572
2025-11-09 0.271020 0.364321 0.492316 0.685193 0.976529 1.413975 2.148663
2025-11-16 0.256728 0.351649 0.484975 0.691344 1.012937 1.513316 2.390096
2025-11-23 0.240950 0.335477 0.471018 0.685834 1.030016 1.582971 2.590061
2025-11-30 0.229511 0.324652 0.463838 0.689603 1.061397 1.678124 2.846150
2025-12-07 0.215908 0.309601 0.449064 0.679885 1.069267 1.733718 3.036996
2025-12-14 0.203889 0.296118 0.435653 0.671030 1.077301 1.789672 3.235279
2025-12-21 0.188869 0.277316 0.413010 0.645707 1.055435 1.791194 3.329941
2025-12-28 0.183643 0.273476 0.413817 0.659709 1.104163 1.927906 3.721728
2026-01-04 0.178099 0.268726 0.412724 0.670163 1.147184 2.058416 4.122013
2026-01-11 0.171854 0.262428 0.408588 0.674796 1.179561 2.171476 4.502784
2026-01-18 0.165816 0.256088 0.403912 0.677964 1.209212 2.282167 4.897349
2026-01-25 0.160756 0.251058 0.401092 0.684184 1.245239 2.410193 5.357169
2026-02-01 0.152511 0.240221 0.387575 0.669409 1.237633 2.443240 5.583857
2026-02-08 0.148218 0.235877 0.385142 0.675390 1.273004 2.575248 6.094095
2026-02-15 0.142435 0.228659 0.377165 0.670033 1.284003 2.653077 6.472716
2026-02-22 0.138383 0.224241 0.373944 0.673697 1.314526 2.780005 7.015893
2026-03-01 0.132685 0.216642 0.364497 0.664248 1.315443 2.835989 7.362810